[3] viXra:2404.0108 [pdf] submitted on 2024-04-22 11:19:24
Authors: Bryce Petofi Towne
Comments: 19 Pages.
Collective decision-making processes play a crucial role in shaping social, political, and organizational outcomes. While existing theories, such as the Social Norms Theory, Diffusion of Innovations Theory, and Bandwagon Effect, have provided valuable insights into these processes, they often fail to capture the dynamic and complex nature of collective decision- making. This paper introduces the Trend Effect Theory, a novel theoretical framework that aims to address the limitations of existing theories and provide a more comprehensive understanding of how trends influence group behaviors. The Trend Effect Theory is grounded in the notion of binary classification, categorizing actions into two types: do/don't do and support/oppose. It emphasizes the universal applicability of trends across various group sizes and highlights the dynamic nature of trend formation and evolution. The theory distinguishes between open and closed trends, explaining how external influences can alter the size and direction of a trend. It also identifies the causes of trend changes, such as internal reversal, external dilution, concurrent internal and external influences, and decrease in participation. The Trend Effect Theory focuses on aggregate outcomes rather than individual actions and acknowledges the context-dependency of trend emergence and evolution. By introducing a 70% threshold for determining trend establishment, the theory offers a clear criterion for understanding collective decision-making processes. This paper discusses the advantages of the Trend Effect Theory over existing theories, its scope and limitations, and the roles and dynamics of participants, non-participants, andTREND EFFECT 1 initiators in trend formation. The potential applications of the theory in various fields, such as marketing, political science, and organizational behavior, are also explored. The Trend Effect Theory provides a valuable framework for researchers, policymakers, and practitioners seeking to understand and influence collective decision-making processes in an increasingly complex and dynamic world.Keywords: Trend Effect Theory, collective decision-making, binary classification, trend dynamics, open and closed trends, initiators, followers, context-dependency
Category: Social Science
[2] viXra:2404.0061 [pdf] replaced on 2024-04-16 13:09:04
Authors: Mathis Antonetti
Comments: 5 Pages.
In this note, we give a proof for a lower bound (though not a satisfying one) of the density of minimal dividing odd subsets where the goldenratio surprisingly appears. We also provide some other properties of such integer subsets and some new insight on the relationship between minimaldividing odd subsets and the Goldbach conjecture. We argue that the study of minimal dividing odd subsets is a new and interesting starting point to prove the Goldbach conjecture.
Category: Social Science
[1] viXra:2404.0043 [pdf] replaced on 2024-04-17 21:46:12
Authors: Richard Michael Blaber
Comments: 29 Pages. Creative Commons License, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0.
This paper will argue that the collapse of advanced industrial society is inevitable on a global scale in the near-term (i.e., in a matter of decades from present), and that, furthermore, it will be irreversible. Industrial society, generally, will be seen as an aberration or anomaly in human history, one costly in terms of human life and suffering, as well as ecological devastation, lasting no more than three hundred years from the start of the Industrial Revolution in Great Britain in 1750 CE to its terminus in circa 2050 CE. If humanity is to survive, it must be in much smaller numbers, and with far less impact on the planet.
Category: Social Science